Spain's olive oil market opens 2025/26 campaign with high outputs and tight supply
Spain's olive oil sector has started the 2025/2026 campaign with notable strength, according to the latest figures from the Agencia de información y control alimentarios (AICA). October data reveal vigorous commercial activity, high sales volumes, and low stock levels as the new harvest begins.
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Key market activity in October 2025
The first month of the new campaign showed that the market is rapidly moving existing inventory, indicating strong demand from both domestic and international sources.
- New production (Oct.): 41,611 t
- Outputs (excluding exports): 106,309 t
The high output figure more than doubles the new production, highlighting sustained market demand and continued reliance on the limited stocks from the previous campaign.
Inventory check: Where are the olive oil stocks?
Total stocks currently stand at 223,517 tonnes, distributed as follows:
- At mills: 92,906 t
- At bottlers: 129,114 t
- Producer's reserves: 1,497 t
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This distribution indicates that the majority of oil is positioned at bottlers and mills, ready to meet immediate domestic and export demand.
2025/2026 outlook: What to watch next
The initial numbers paint a positive picture of a highly active market. The stability of the Spanish olive oil sector in the coming months will hinge on the following factors:
- Full harvest yield: Overall production levels will be determined by the key harvesting months of November and December.
- Export performance: Maintaining the current strong international demand for Spanish olive oil is critical to absorbing the substantial stock.
- Price dynamics: With sufficient early production and existing stock, prices will likely remain stable unless an unexpected surge in demand or a lower-than-expected final yield occurs.
- Domestic consumption: Gradual, sustained growth in internal consumption would further help balance the high supply volumes.
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